PUBLICATIONS AND PAPERS

Published papers

• Petreska, I. (MASA), Tomovski, I. (MASA), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), Kocerev, L. (MASA), Bono, F. (JRC), and Poljansek, K. (JRC):
  Application of modal analysis in assessing attack vulnerability of complex networks
  Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, Vol. 15, pages: 1008–1018, 2010
  
  
• Zlatanov, N. (MASA), Kocarev, L. (MASA):
  Random walks on networks: Cumulative distribution of cover time
  (Phys. Rev. E 80, 041102 2009 (Pub Oct 2009))
  
  
• Carvalho, R. (QMUL), Buzna, L. (ETH Zurich, University of Zilina), Bono, F. (JRC), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), Just, W. (QMUL), Arrowsmith, D. (QMUL):
  Robustness of Trans-European Gas Networks: The Backbone and Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2009 Jul;80(1 Pt 2):016106. Epub 2009 Jul 10
  
  
• Erzgräber, H. (QMUL), Just, W. (QMUL):
  Global view on a nonlinear oscillator subject to time-delayed feedback control
  (Physica D 238 (2009) 1680-1687] )
  
  
• Kiss, P.(COLB), László V. (COLB), Jánosi, I. (COLB):
  Contrasting Electricity Demand with Wind Power Supply: Case Study in Hungary
  (Energies 2009, 2, 839-850; doi:10.3390/en20400839)
  
  
• Kiss, P.(COLB), Varga, L. , Jánosi, I. (COLB):
  Comparison of wind power estimates from the ECMWF reanalyses with direct turbine measurements
  (Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy 1, 033105 2009)
  
  
• Kiss, P.(COLB), Jánosi, I. (COLB):
  Limitations of wind power availability over Europe: a conceptual study
  (Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 15, 803–813, 2008)
  
  
• Kiss, P.(COLB), Jánosi, I. (COLB):
  Comprehensive empirical analysis of ERA-40 surface wind speed distribution over Europe
  (Energy Conversion and Management, 2008, Vol 49/8, pp 2142-2151 (2008) DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2008.02.003 )
  
  
• Strozzi, F.(LIUC), Noè, C. (LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC):
  Control and optimization of one-level supply chain, The Open Operational Research Journal, 2008, 2, 51-59
  
  
• Strozzi, F.(LIUC), Noè, C. (LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC):
  Stability control in a supply chain: total costs and bullwhip effect reduction
  (International Journal of Production Economics [in revision])
  
  
• Caloiero, G. (LIUC), Strozzi, F.(LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC):
  A supply chain as a series of filter or amplificators of the bullwhip effect.
  (International Journal of Production Economics, 2007, [Accepted] )
  


• Strozzi, F. (LIUC), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), Noè, C. (LIUC), Rossi, T. (LIUC), Serati, M. (LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC):: Measuring volatility in the Nordic spot electricity market using Recurrence Quantification Analysis , Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics, 164, 105-115, 2008 .
  
• Erzgräber, H. (QMUL), Strozzi, F. (LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC), Touchette, H. (QMUL), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), Arrowsmith, D.K. (QMUL):
  Time series analysis and long range correlations of Nordic spot electricity market data
  [Physica A 387 (2008) 6567-6574]


• Woolf, M. (QMUL), Huang, Z. (QMUL), and Mondragon, R.J. (QMUL):
  Building catastrophes: networks designed to fail by avalanche-like breakdown
  [New Journal of Physics, 9 (2007) 174 (http://www.njp.org/ , doi:10.1088/1367-2630/9/6/174)]


• Mondragon, R.J. (QMUL):
  Topological modelling of large networks
  [Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A (2008) 366, 1931–1940, doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0008. Published online 6 March 2008]
  

Papers submitted/in preparation

• Strozzi, F.(LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC), Poljansek, K. (JRC), Bono, F. (JRC), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC):
  Chaotic complex networks from Recurrence Plots
  to be submitted to Int. J. of Bif. And Chaos
  
  
• Mishkovski, I. , Kocarev, L. (MASA), and Biey, M.:
  Vulnerability of Complex Networks
  Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, submitted for publication.
  
  
• Smilkov, D. and Kocarev, L. (MASA):
  Rich-club and page-club coefficients for directed graphs
  Physica A, submitted for publication.
  
  
• Trpevski, D., Tang, W. and Kocarev, L. (MASA):
  A Model for Information Spreading over Networks
  Physical Review E, submitted for publication.
  
  
• Zlatanov, N. and Kocarev, L. (MASA):
  Modeling Malware Propagation in Networks
  Computer Networks, submitted for publication.
  
  
• Kocarev, L. (MASA), Zlatanov, N., and Trajanov, D.:
  Vulnerability of networks of interacting Markov chains
  Computer Networks, submitted for publication.
  
  
• Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC), Strozzi, F.(LIUC), Poljansek, K. (JRC), Bono, F. (JRC), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), Weber, C. L.:
  From complex networks to time series using recurrence plots: Application to metabolic networks
  to be submitted to Int. J. of Bif. And Chaos
  
  
• Bono, F. (JRC),Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), and Poljansek, K. (JRC):
  Traffic: A case study of flows and paths in weighted directed networks
  to be submitted to Physica A
  


• Szenes, M. (COLB), Farkas, Z. (COLB), Gabor Papp, G. (COLB):
  Modelling the dynamics and fragmentation of electric power systems
  preprint COLB, 2010
  


• Mishkovski, I., Filiposka, S., Gramatikov, S., Trajanov, D. and Kocarev, L. (MASA):
  Game Theoretic Approach for Discovering Vulnerable Links in Complex Networks
  preprint MASA
  


• Gramatikov, S., Trajanov, D. and Kocarev, L. (MASA), Grnarov, A.:
  Topology Impact on Influence Spreading
  preprint MASA
  
• Strozzi, F. (LIUC), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC), Noè, C. (LIUC), Rossi, T. (LIUC), Serati, M. (LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC):
  Application Of Non-Linear Time Series Analysis Techniques To The Nordic Spot Electricity Market Data
  (LIUC Paper, October 2007)
  
  

CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS

The following conferences included topics directly involving the MANMADE Project.

Projected talks

26-29 September 2010: 14th International Conference on Harmonics and Quality of Power, Bergamo, Italy

• Divergence Operator applied to the tuning of an electricity network
  D.Falabretti, M.Merlo,F. Delfanti J.M. Zaldivar, F.Strozzi

30 May-2 June 2010: ISCAS 2010, Paris

• Building synchronizable and robust networks
  I. Mishkovski, M. Righero, M. Biey and L. Kocarev

November Workshop in Budapest

• Hungarian Energy Office is holding a workshop with MANMADE(Hungary)

 

Delivered talks

6 November, 2009 Women in Science - a meeting for London school children

• Guest speaker: Dr Delilah Al Khudhairy, Head of the Institute for Protection and Security of the Citizen at the EU’s Joint Research Center in Ispra, Italy.
  

28-29 September 2009: ICT Innovations 2009, Ohrid Macedonia

• Vulnerability Assessment of Complex Networks based on Optimal Flow Measurements under Intentional Node and Edge Attacks
  I. Mishkovski, R.Kojchev, D.Trajanov, L.Kocarev (MASA)
• Impact of Community Structures on Ad Hoc Networks Performances
  S. Filiposka, D. Trajanov (MASA)
• Non-Poisson Processes of Email Virus Propagation
  M. Mircev, L. Kocarev (MASA)

26-29 September 2009: ETAI 2009 Conference, Ohird, Macedonia

• Heterogeneous Epidemiologic Influence Spreading Models In Complex Networks
  S. Gramatikov (MASA), D. Trajanov (MASA), L. Kocarev (MASA)
• Network Utility Maximization In Ad Hoc Networks With Different Communication Patterns
  M. Mirchev (MASA), S. Filiposka (MASA), N. Trajkovski (MASA), D. Trajanov (MASA)

24-25 September 2009: Workshop on Deregulated European Energy Market [a MANMADE deliverable], Collegium Budapest, Hungary

• Data Mining Techniques in Electricty Pricing
  László Varga (E.ON Hungária Group)
  
• The behaviour of day-ahead electricity prices
  Zita Marossy (COLB)
  
• Estimating wind power potential and its variabilities over Europe
  Péter Kiss (COLB)
  
• On the implementation of Geographic Information Systems and vulnerability assessment of networks to natural hazards
  Flavio Bono (JRC)
  
• How to upgrade the European power grid to enable high penetration of wind power
  Zénó Farkas (COLB)
  

21-25 September 2009: European Conference on Complex Systems 2009, University of Warwick

• Robustness of Trans-European Gas Networks: The Backbone
  R. Carvalho (QMUL)

9-11 September 2009: Logistics Research Network Annual Conference: “Volatile and Fragile Supply Chains”, Cardiff

• Markov Chains Models for supply chain risk: insights from a systematic literature review using Main Path Analysis
  C. Colicchia (LIUC), A. Creazza (LIUC), F. Strozzi (LIUC)

26-28 August 2009: Third International Symposium on Recurrence Plots, Montreal

• From complex networks to time series and viceversa
  Strozzi, F.(LIUC), Zaldívar, J.M. (JRC), Poljansek, K. (JRC), Bono, F. (JRC), Gutiérrez, E. (JRC)

20-22 July 2009: IWCSN Workshop, University of Bristol

• MANMADE CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES (to be appended after event)
  D.K. Arrowsmith (QMUL)

10th July 2009: Industrial Complexity Forum, University of Bath

• MANMADE: Complexity and criticality of real infrastructure networks
  W. Just (QMUL)

5-9 July 2009: EURO09 Conference Bonn

• A stochastic model for evaluating the vulnerability of a supply network
  C. Colicchia (LIUC), F. Strozzi (LIUC), C. Noè (LIUC), L. Kocarev (MASA)

5-8 July 2009: EURO XXIII (Stream: Methodology of Societal Complexity), Bonn

• Manmade project: diagnosing vulnerability , emergent phenomena and volatility in manmade networks
  F. Strozzi (LIUC), E. Gutiérrez, (JRC), D.K. Arrowsmith (QMUL)

29 June-3 July 2009: NETSCI 09 International Workshop and Conference on Complex Networks and their Applications, Istituto Veneto Scienze Lettere Ed Arti

• Robustness of Trans-European Gas Networks: the Backbone, R. Carvalho (QMUL)
  

24 June 2009: Natural and man-made vulnerabilities of EU Grid, Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts (MASA), Skopje Macedonia

• Program and abstracts


• Overview on the MANMADE Project
  D.K. Arrowsmith(QMUL)
• Robustness of Trans-European Gas Networks: The Hot Backbone
  R. Carvahlo(QMUL)
• Probabilistic approach for vulnerability assessment of interdependent critical infrastructure systems: the case of EU gas and electricity networks
  K. Poljansek(ELSA-JRC)
• The role of GIS in modern network analysis
  F. Bono (ELSA-JRC)
• Impact of the spatial fluctuations of wind power on the stability of UCTE network
  Z. Farkas (COLB)
• From complex networks to time series and viceversa
  F. Strozzi (LIUC)
• Optimization of the electric power system of Macedonia
  Aleksandra Kanevce, FEIT, UKIM, Macedonia
• Structural and topological analysis of the European Power Grid
  I. Miskovski, FEIT, UKIM, Macedonia
• Influence spreading in complex networks
  S. Gramatikov, FEIT, UKIM, Macedonia
• Modal analysis and vulnerability of complex networks: the case of the segments of the EU Power Grid
  I. Tomovski, (MASA)

June 8-12, 2009: International Workshop on Coping with Crises in Complex Socio-Economic Systems, ETH Zurich (Switzerland)

• Poster presentation

• Robustness of Trans-European Gas Networks: The Hot Backbone, R. Carvalho (QMUL).

27 April 2009: PANDA: Patterns in Compexity Workshop, University of Leeds

• MANMADE: Complexity and criticality of real infrastrucutre networks
  W. Just (QMUL)

7 March 2009: BAMC: British Applied Mathematical Colloquium, University of Nottingham

• Critical infrastructure in European power networks
  D. Arrowsmith (QMUL)
  [Presented at the March 7th mini-symposium on "Cells and Networks"]

12-13 January 2009: 5th MANMADE Management Committee Meeting (JRC, Ispra, Italy)

• Agenda and minutes


• Protection of Trans-European Gas Networks: The Hot Backbones
  R. Carvalho (QMUL)
• Dynamics of supply-chain and market volatility of networks
  F. Strozzi (LIUC)
• Simulation meta-models
  A. Cressa (LIUC)
• SVARs and DFMs for modeling electricity prices
  M. Manera (LIUC)

5-13 December 2008 CISSE2008 (Int. Joint Conf. on Computer, Information, and System Sciences, and Engineering, University of Bridgeport, USA)

• Game Theoretic Approach for Discovering Vulnerable Links in Complex Networks
  I. Mishkovski, S. Filiposka, S. Gramatikov, D. Trajanov and L. Kocarev.
• Topology Impact on Influence Spreading
  S. Gramatikov, D. Trajanov, L. Kocarev, A. Grnarov.

• “Influence Spreading in Complex Networks”, S. Gramatikov, D. Trajanov, L. Kocarev, A. Grnarov

30 June -4 July 2008: Risk Measurement and Control

• MANMADE,Diagnosing vulnerability, emergent phenomena, and Volatility in Manmade Networks
  David Arrowsmith Control and Management of Risk, La Sapienza, Rome, July 2008 .
• Spectral and topological analysis of weighted networks
  F. Bono, E. Gutierrez, K. Poljansek (presented by David Arrowsmith) Control and Management of Risk, La Sapienza, Rome, July 2008 .

19 June 2008: Bridging the Gaps Symposium, QMUL

• Modelling of Critical Infrastructures,
  D. Arrowsmith (QMUL)

9-10 June 2008: 4th MANMADE Management Committee Meeting (NESA - Helsinki)

• Agenda and minutes


• Dynamics of supply-chain and market volatility of networks
  F. Strozzi (LIUC)
• Simulation of the impact of the electric power supply on a logistic-production system
  C. Noè, T. Rossi (LIUC)
• Supply chain risk management
  C. Colicchia (LIUC)
• Vulnerability of interconnected networks -- A method to calculate interoperability matrices
  L. Kocarev (MASA)

6 October 2007: European Conference on Complex Systems, Dresden

• MANMADE D.K. Arrowsmith, D.K. Arrowsmith*, F.Bono**, E. Gutierrez, NEST Pathfinder CRP Forum, European Conference on Complex Systems 2007 (ECCS '07), Dresden.

June 2008: International Conference on applied simulation and modelling, Corfù

• Analysis of complex systems by means of mathematical and simulation methods,
  C. Colicchia (LIUC), H. Sivonen (NESA), C. Noè (LIUC), F. Strozzi (LIUC)

28-29 March 2008: Kárpát-medencei Környezettudományi konferencia (Ecology conference of Carpatian basin), Debrecen, Hungary

• "Az európai szélpotenciál korlátai (The limits of European wind potential)"
  by P. Kiss (COLB), I.M. Jánosi(COLB), conference proceedings, vol 2, 80-85 (2008)

21-22 January 2008: 3rd MANMADE Management Committee Meeting (COLB - Collegium Budapest)

Agenda and minutes

Touchette, H. (QMUL): "WP 3.1 Scaling and Correlation in the Nordic Spot Electricity Market Data"

Bono, F. (JRC): "WP2: Data Collation"

Bono, F. (JRC): "Synthesis of D1.3: Network analysis of interaction between consortium members and MANMADE forum"

Strozzi, F. (LIUC): "WP5 Dynamics of supply-chain and market volatility of networks"

Noè, C. (LIUC): "WP5 D5.1: Logical framework of the impact of the electric power supply on a logistic-production system"

Manera, M. (LIUC): "WP5 D5.2: Modeling Electricity Prices: from the State of the Art to a Draft of a New Proposal"

Kocarev, L. (MASA): "WP6 Vulnerability of Interconnected Networks Review and Planned activities"

Kiss, P., Janosi, I. (COLB): "WP4: Assessment Report on the Wind Energy Potential over Europe. Part II. Wind Power Networks"

Marossy, Z., Szenes, M. (COLB): "Analysis of day-ahead electricity data"

6 October 2007: European Conference on Complex Systems, Dresden

• MANMADE D.K. Arrowsmith, D.K. Arrowsmith*, F.Bono**, E. Gutierrez, NEST Pathfinder CRP Forum, European Conference on Complex Systems 2007 (ECCS '07), Dresden.

12 September 2007: 2nd International Workshop on Recurrence Plots

Proceedings

Strozzi, F. (LIUC), Zaldívar Comentes, J.M. (JRC), Zbilut, J. P. (Department of Molecular Biophysics and Physiology, Rush Medical College, Chicago, USA):

• Applications of RQA to Financial Time Series

20 July 2007: International Workshop on Complex Systems and Networks, Guilin

• Optimal Networks, Congestion and Braess' Paradox D.K. Arrowsmith and R.J. Mondragon, IWCSN - 2007 Guilin, CHINA.

28,29-June 2007: 2nd MANMADE Management Committee Meeting (LIUC - Università Carlo Cattaneo)

Agenda and minutes

Bono, F. (JRC): "WP2 Network Collation: GIS Data, Forum Activities, Networking"

Janosi, I. (COLB): "Assessment Report on Wind Energy Potential over Europe—Part 1: Wind Speed Distribution"

Just, W. (QMUL): "Time series analysis of the Norwegian electricity spot prices"

Kocarev, L. (MASA): "WP6 Vulnerability of Interconnected Networks"

Sivonen, H. (NESA - National Emergency Supply Agency, Finland): "Risk assessment based on interdependencies "

• Calculation of effect modeling tool (.xls)

Strozzi, F. (LIUC): "Analysis of NORDPOOL spot price data"

7-May 2007: Complex Systems - from theory to application (MASA-Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts)

Conference proceedings

Arrowsmith, D, (QMUL): "Transport on congested networks"

Gutierrez Tenreiro, E, (JRC): "Modal analysis of weighted graphs"

Janosi, I. (Lorand Eotvos University Budapest, Hungary): "Comprehensive analysis of the wind speed probability distribution over Europe"

Kondor, I. (COLB): "Critical phenomena in portfolio selection"

Vattay, G. (COLB): "Complex Traffic in Internet: Theory and Experiments"

25-29 September 2006: European Conference on Complex Systems

• D.K. Arrowsmith (QMUL),
  MANMADE
  NEST Pathfinder ECCS06 Satellite Workshops, European Conference on Complex Systems 2006 (ECCS '06), Saïd Business School, University of Oxford.